Much of my work involves solving puzzles with most of the
pieces missing. It also involves
training others. For both tasks, I have
to ask what evidence is available. What
explanation best fits it? Is there
another explanation that fits as well?
Are assumptions being made for which there is no evidence? Are those coloring the explanations? I am continually frustrated by the fact that
most people jump to conclusions based either on insufficient (or no) evidence
and on assumptions that are insupportable.
I frequently see the same thing in publications and even more so on the
internet. I'm afraid I have very little
patience with it in others and none in myself.
Any good scientist should feel the same way. It means I frequently disagree with so-called
"received wisdom" that doesn't measure up as well as with reports of
the "latest discoveries," which all too often have half-baked
conclusions. By "received wisdom," I mean century-old hypotheses that have not been questioned in the light of the data that have accumulated since. These become the assumptions on which new hypotheses are based, building a very shaky house of cards. Fortunately, science is self-correcting, and sooner or later a re-evaluation will be forced.
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